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2024-12-13 05:49:40

The latest CPI data will be released tonight. The market expects the overall inflation rate to be 2.7%, 0.1 percentage point higher than that in October, and the core inflation rate is expected to be 3.3%, which is the same as that in October. Although the forecast data shows that the suppression of inflation by monetary policy is close to stagnation, it has dropped sharply compared with the previous peak of 9%. At present, the latest FEDWATCH data shows that the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates next Tuesday is over 80%.If we can continue to cut interest rates in December, it will undoubtedly be a big plus for A shares, and the pressure on the exchange rate will be further reduced, which may become a turning point in the short term.So will heavyweights and large-cap stocks exert their strength? Looking at the trend of SSE 50, it is still very possible, because at present, the monthly trend of SSE 50 index is intact, and the index remains above the offensive line and above the long-term trend line. At present, it has the foundation to start a big market. Looking back, the index must remain above the monthly offensive line in all big markets, so this is a prerequisite. Since it is also available now, we can certainly expect something.


A shares: the latest release of Shanghai Stock Exchange! Incremental funds are coming, and it is likely to continue to rise on Thursday!Exempting the transfer of shares or units of REITs and the securities distribution business of option makers will enhance the competitiveness of Hong Kong REITs and reduce the transaction costs of option makers. Revising the stamp duty collection arrangement will promote the efficiency of stamping and stamp duty collection procedures in the paperless securities market environment.


At present, there is nothing wrong with the medium and long-term trend, so don't worry too much. Strategically, we will continue to watch more. Tactically, we will follow the trend and take the initiative step by step.Federal Reserve's December OutlookThe latest progress of stamp duty in Hong Kong has come!

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